Colima vs Orgullo de Reynosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability

2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.6%
Win probability

0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-47%
+12%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
18º
17º
49
3º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
3º
|
58 | 75 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
![]() |
1º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
85% | |
![]() |
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
89% | |
![]() |
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
![]() |
10º
|
48 | 49 |
7º
|
23% | |
![]() |
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
![]() |
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
13% | |
![]() |
8º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
![]() |
12º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
30% | |
![]() |
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
36% | |
![]() |
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
82% | |
![]() |
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
74.5% | |
![]() |
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
74.5% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
Play-offs
|
0% | 42.5% |
Mid-table
|
100% | 57.5% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colima

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 Jan. 2024 |
NAY
![]() 5 - 2
![]() COL
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
26 Nov. 2023 |
RAF
![]() 0 - 2
![]() COL
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
18 Nov. 2023 |
COL
![]() 4 - 1
![]() CAL
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +3 |
11 Nov. 2023 |
ATS
![]() 1 - 0
![]() COL
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
04 Nov. 2023 |
COL
![]() 2 - 1
![]() CSI
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Orgullo de Reynosa

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 Jan. 2024 |
CFO
![]() 1 - 1
![]() EST
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
25 Nov. 2023 |
CFO
![]() 2 - 0
![]() COR
12%
18%
70%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +6 |
18 Nov. 2023 |
GAV
![]() 0 - 1
![]() CFO
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | +1 |
11 Nov. 2023 |
CFO
![]() 2 - 0
![]() CFC
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | +1 |
04 Nov. 2023 |
CFO
![]() 3 - 1
![]() ZAC
10%
19%
71%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | +2 |