Coleraine vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
COL
1 - 5
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
COL
7 - 0
BUF
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 12 | 53 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
5 - 2
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LIS
5 - 1
COA
52%
21%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIS
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 2
BAL
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 3
LIS
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
LIS
3 - 3
DON
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |