Coleraine vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
LAR
1 - 5
COL
36%
25%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
COL
1 - 2
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
COL
3 - 1
CLI
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
COL
0 - 1
GLE
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
CRU
0 - 1
COL
30%
25%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
DUN
3 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
LAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
ARD
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |