Coleraine vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LAR
0 - 2
COL
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
COL
1 - 0
CLI
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ARD
2 - 2
COL
29%
26%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CLI
1 - 2
INS
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
INS
0 - 3
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
LIS
3 - 2
INS
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |