Copa Peru Quarter-finals
Global 2-10
Colegio Comercio vs Atlético Bruces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
60%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegio Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
COM
0 - 0
CCO
63%
21%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CCO
5 - 1
SEM
36%
22%
41%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
LPT
0 - 2
CCO
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
CCO
1 - 1
LPT
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SEM
2 - 1
CCO
42%
22%
36%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Bruces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ABR
4 - 1
RSC
84%
12%
4%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDV
1 - 1
ABR
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ABR
2 - 1
SAR
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
4 - 1
ABR
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ABR
3 - 0
CDV
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |