Asunción A vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
58.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+214%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asunción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NAI
1 - 1
CAS
53%
20%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
RGJ
3 - 7
CAS
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 0
CAS
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
EST
73%
15%
13%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
COD
0 - 1
CAS
30%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAL
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NAI
1 - 4
CAS
39%
21%
40%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
RGJ
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAS
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VER
2 - 6
CAS
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |