Asunción A vs Camocha B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asunción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAS
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
ARE
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
UAS
45%
22%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ABO
2 - 4
CAS
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
PIL
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Camocha B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CMB
2 - 1
ABO
61%
18%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PIL
2 - 1
CMB
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
CMB
25%
20%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CMB
2 - 1
VSQ
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
CMB
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |