Asunción A vs FCR La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
35.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asunción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
COD
0 - 3
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TRE
7 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
PDV
24%
21%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAI
4 - 1
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
CAS
41%
22%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FCR La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
TRE
21%
20%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAI
2 - 0
CAL
60%
18%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 1
MCU
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UAS
4 - 3
CAL
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
11 - 2
RGJ
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |