Colegiales vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
AND
2 - 2
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
COL
1 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
COL
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
COL
2 - 2
ACA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SUA
2 - 0
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 0
BRO
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 0
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 1
ARM
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
DEF
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 1
STM
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |