Coldstream vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coldstream
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
TYN
1 - 4
COL
76%
15%
8%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
WHI
1 - 0
COL
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
EDI
6 - 0
COL
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
COL
2 - 7
EDI
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
COL
1 - 7
LOT
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -3 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 0
BUC
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BUC
0 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
6 - 1
FOR
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2008 |
DAL
2 - 4
FOR
71%
16%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
DAL
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |