Cognac vs Malesherbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
COG
0 - 1
LES
41%
27%
33%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
COG
2 - 0
BLO
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAU
3 - 0
COG
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 0
COG
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
COG
1 - 1
STP
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Malesherbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 2
BLO
35%
27%
39%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SAU
1 - 0
MAL
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 3
STP
31%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAL
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 0
COG
27%
25%
49%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |