Cognac vs Sablé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 0
COG
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
COG
0 - 0
POI
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
COG
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
COG
2 - 1
TOU
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SAU
4 - 0
COG
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 1
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 0
SAB
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
SAB
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SAB
5 - 0
VIE
57%
21%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SAB
3 - 0
POI
27%
24%
48%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +5 |