Cognac vs SA Mérignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
CUG
3 - 1
COG
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
COG
2 - 3
BEZ
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BER
3 - 3
COG
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
COG
1 - 3
BLA
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 2
COG
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 0
CUG
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BEZ
3 - 2
SAM
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 4
BER
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BLA
2 - 1
SAM
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |