Cognac vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COG
2 - 1
ASC
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SAB
2 - 1
COG
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
COG
1 - 2
BOU
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
POI
2 - 1
COG
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
COG
3 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 1
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VIE
0 - 4
CHO
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 2
ASC
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SAB
3 - 1
CHO
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOU
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |