Cognac vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TOU
3 - 2
COG
70%
17%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
COG
1 - 2
SAU
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 0
COG
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
MON
5 - 3
COG
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
COG
1 - 1
SAM
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CHA
4 - 1
BON
76%
15%
8%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 2
CHA
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
AAI
0 - 3
CHA
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |