Cognac vs Brive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
COL
0 - 0
COG
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
COG
3 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
36%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 0
COG
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
MOA
2 - 0
COG
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
COG
4 - 3
BLA
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BRI
2 - 2
TAR
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
BLA
1 - 4
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
BRI
0 - 2
TRE
24%
25%
50%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ROD
1 - 0
BRI
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BRI
3 - 2
TOF
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |