Cognac vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
POI
2 - 1
COG
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
COG
3 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TOU
3 - 2
COG
70%
17%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
COG
1 - 2
SAU
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 0
COG
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BOU
4 - 1
BON
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOU
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 1
BOU
24%
24%
53%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BOU
0 - 0
SAB
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
STG
1 - 0
BOU
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |