Cognac vs Tournefeuille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
COG
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
COG
0 - 1
STA
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SAG
1 - 0
COG
39%
26%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
COG
4 - 3
TAR
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
COG
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tournefeuille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
AST
1 - 2
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CUG
2 - 2
AST
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AST
2 - 0
BEZ
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +6 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BER
4 - 0
AST
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AST
2 - 1
BLA
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |