CODM Meknes vs USM Oujda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
13º
1º
49
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
70.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CODM Meknes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 2
MEK
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MEK
1 - 0
CBG
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DIF
4 - 2
MEK
45%
29%
27%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MEK
0 - 1
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ITM
0 - 0
MEK
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
USM
1 - 0
ITM
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
USM
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
USM
1 - 0
ROZ
23%
28%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 1
USM
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
USM
1 - 0
RAC
40%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |