Modern SC vs El Shams analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modern SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
CCF
0 - 0
ISM
41%
31%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
CCF
43%
29%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CCF
0 - 1
NBE
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
CCF
0 - 1
PET
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CCF
4 - 1
CCF
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
El Shams
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
ITE
1 - 1
ALS
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 0
SEM
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
MOK
3 - 0
ALS
85%
12%
4%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | -4 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ALS
2 - 1
BAH
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ELS
0 - 1
ALS
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |