Cobresal vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CSL
2 - 3
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
CSL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
CSL
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSL
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CSL
3 - 1
UNI
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCO
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
ANT
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |