Cobresal vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CSL
1 - 2
NUB
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CSL
2 - 5
UCH
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SWA
3 - 0
CSL
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
OHI
3 - 0
CSL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CSL
2 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
OHI
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 2
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 0
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 5
UCH
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |