Cobresal vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 0
CSL
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSL
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
CSL
2 - 1
HUA
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SWA
0 - 4
CSL
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CSL
1 - 2
UCH
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 0
UCO
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCO
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
33%
27%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
UCO
3 - 0
COB
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |