Cobresal vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 0
CSL
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
CSL
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
CSL
2 - 0
ACS
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
CSL
2 - 0
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
UCO
4 - 1
DEP
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
PUE
0 - 4
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
SWA
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 1
COB
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |