Cobreloa vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HUA
3 - 2
COB
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
OHI
1 - 1
COB
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
COB
2 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 0
COB
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
COB
1 - 1
DLS
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCO
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
DLS
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 2
CSD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 4
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |