Cobreloa vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
COB
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
COL
2 - 2
COB
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
COB
3 - 3
COL
42%
24%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UCH
3 - 2
COB
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
COB
3 - 0
UCH
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 1
CDM
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CSL
1 - 3
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
CDP
1 - 1
UCO
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CSD
2 - 3
UCO
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |