Copa Chile Last 16
Global 2-2
Cobreloa vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
COB
2 - 1
IBE
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EVE
2 - 1
COB
23%
28%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
COB
2 - 0
CON
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DCO
1 - 2
COB
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
COB
2 - 0
ANT
43%
24%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 3
LIB
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
UCO
39%
24%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 2
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |