Cobreloa vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
ACS
4 - 1
COB
54%
24%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
COB
4 - 2
SWA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
COQ
1 - 1
COB
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
COL
2 - 2
COB
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
CON
1 - 2
UCH
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
UNI
0 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
CON
1 - 0
PUE
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
CON
1 - 1
ACS
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
SWA
2 - 1
CON
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |