Copa Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Cobán Imperial vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MIX
0 - 1
COB
14%
24%
61%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
COB
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
COB
0 - 3
GUA
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 3
COB
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
COB
2 - 2
TOR
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MIX
0 - 1
COB
14%
24%
61%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 0
REU
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
REU
1 - 0
MIX
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
MIX
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MIX
0 - 0
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |