Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SIQ
1 - 0
COB
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
COB
3 - 0
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DSA
1 - 1
COB
30%
31%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
COB
2 - 0
DEP
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
COM
0 - 2
COB
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
ANT
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
COB
3 - 0
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TOR
5 - 4
MUN
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
SIQ
3 - 0
TOR
39%
26%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |