Primera Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Cobán Imperial vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
COB
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
COB
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COB
2 - 0
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 2
COB
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAY
2 - 0
COB
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
COB
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 2
AUR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
SPD
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
AUR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |