Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Cobán Imperial vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
COB
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
COM
2 - 1
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
COB
5 - 1
ANT
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
TEC
0 - 0
COB
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COB
0 - 1
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
COB
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 1
JRG
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
TEC
1 - 2
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
5 - 0
ZAC
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COB
0 - 1
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |