Copa Guatemala Last 16
Global 5-2
Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
COB
0 - 1
GUA
39%
29%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ACH
2 - 0
COB
14%
23%
64%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ANT
1 - 2
COB
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
COB
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
COB
2 - 0
MUN
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
ACH
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ACH
2 - 0
COB
14%
23%
64%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ACH
1 - 0
AUR
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAC
5 - 1
ACH
28%
26%
47%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
ACH
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |