Coatepeque vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
COA
3 - 0
SPD
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AYU
0 - 0
COA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
COA
2 - 0
ANT
50%
24%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
IZT
4 - 2
COA
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
COA
1 - 0
AUR
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 2
PUE
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SPD
1 - 1
NUE
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
NUE
3 - 1
AYU
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ANT
0 - 0
NUE
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 1
IZT
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |