Coatepeque vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COA
3 - 1
IZT
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 1
COA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COA
2 - 1
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 0
COA
48%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
COA
3 - 0
PUE
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPD
2 - 0
NUE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 0
AYU
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
RET
0 - 1
NUE
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IZT
4 - 2
NUE
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 2
LAG
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |