Coatepeque vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
COA
0 - 2
AUR
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
IZT
4 - 1
COA
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
COA
2 - 0
LAG
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
COA
0 - 1
PUE
46%
24%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SPD
3 - 2
COA
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SPD
4 - 0
NUE
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 0
ESC
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 0
NUE
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 0
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
NUE
4 - 1
MIX
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |