Coatepeque vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MIX
3 - 2
COA
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
COA
1 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
COA
1 - 0
AUR
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 2
COA
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
COA
3 - 2
ESC
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NUE
0 - 1
LAG
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SPD
1 - 0
NUE
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
NUE
3 - 1
IZT
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
MIX
3 - 0
NUE
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |