Coatepeque vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IZT
2 - 0
COA
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SPD
2 - 0
COA
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
COA
1 - 1
AUR
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
COA
3 - 0
ESC
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 0
COA
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NUE
3 - 1
AUR
31%
24%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ESC
1 - 1
NUE
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 2
MIX
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 1
ANT
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 1
NUE
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |