Coatepeque vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
COA
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
COA
2 - 0
MIX
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
IZT
3 - 3
COA
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
COA
3 - 2
AUR
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ANT
0 - 0
COA
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NUE
1 - 3
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ESC
2 - 0
NUE
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
NUE
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NUE
3 - 1
MIX
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
IZT
1 - 0
NUE
64%
20%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -2 |