Guatemala First Division Apertura Last 16
Global 3-2
Coatepeque vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
COA
37%
24%
40%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 2
COA
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COA
0 - 0
NUE
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
COA
3 - 0
SJF
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 0
COA
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
COA
37%
24%
40%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CON
4 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COM
2 - 2
CON
41%
28%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
DBC
44%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
SAC
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |