Primera Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Coatepeque vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ESC
3 - 1
COA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
COA
4 - 1
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NUE
0 - 0
COA
30%
26%
45%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COA
4 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MIX
3 - 2
COA
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
PET
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ACH
2 - 1
CON
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CON
5 - 1
TEC
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
DEP
2 - 1
CON
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
SAC
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |