Coatepeque vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SPD
0 - 0
COA
41%
22%
37%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
COA
1 - 1
SPD
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COA
1 - 1
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
COA
37%
24%
40%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 2
COA
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 2
VEN
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
VEN
2 - 1
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 1
SAC
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JUP
2 - 0
AUR
43%
28%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
ZAC
43%
29%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |