Coatepeque vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
COA
3 - 0
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 2
COA
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COA
2 - 1
PUE
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ESC
5 - 0
COA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
IZT
0 - 0
COA
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
IZT
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MIX
1 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 0
XIN
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |