Coastal Union vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
DJF
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
KMC
0 - 0
COA
51%
25%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
JKT
0 - 1
COA
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
KAG
34%
31%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
COA
3 - 1
GGF
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
MTI
2 - 3
IFC
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
MTI
2 - 1
MFC
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
YOU
4 - 1
MTI
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
NAM
1 - 0
MTI
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 1
MTI
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | 0 |