Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
32.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
COA
0 - 1
YOU
29%
30%
41%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
COA
2 - 0
DJF
28%
31%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 2
COA
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COA
2 - 0
PSC
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 15 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
JKT
2 - 1
COA
40%
31%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PSC
1 - 1
KAG
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 15 | 43 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
KMC
1 - 0
KAG
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SBS
3 - 1
KAG
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
KAG
2 - 0
KEN
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 0
JKT
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |