Coastal Spirit vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
3º
6
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 0
COA
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
COA
1 - 3
FER
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
COA
2 - 4
CAS
8%
11%
81%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
DUN
36%
22%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SUF
2 - 3
COA
24%
20%
56%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
GIA
10%
14%
76%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 1
FCT
96%
3%
1%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FCT
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 6
NSF
8%
13%
79%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 0
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |