CSM Deva vs Filiaşi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
3º
3º
48
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 13 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 10 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44.5% | 55.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Deva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 3
CET
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
CET
3 - 3
CSC
44%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FIL
3 - 3
CET
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CET
4 - 1
SIM
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 0
CET
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Filiaşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FIL
1 - 3
CSC
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 1
FIL
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FIL
3 - 3
CET
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
CSC
4 - 0
FIL
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FIL
0 - 4
SIM
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |