CNI vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
CNI
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CNI
0 - 1
ALI
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SBO
1 - 0
CNI
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CNI
1 - 3
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
3 - 1
CNI
58%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
AUR
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 1
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
COB
1 - 1
SPC
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 0
AYA
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |