CNI vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 1
CNI
63%
22%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 1
CNI
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
CNI
1 - 1
LEO
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 2
CNI
67%
22%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2010 |
CNI
5 - 1
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SPC
4 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
HUA
0 - 1
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
SBO
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPC
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 1
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |