Clube Futebol Benfica vs Lourel SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clube Futebol Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAC
0 - 0
CLU
52%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CLU
0 - 0
POV
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PER
1 - 0
CLU
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CLU
2 - 2
ALV
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OEI
0 - 1
CLU
85%
11%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lourel SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
IRI
1 - 2
LOU
34%
23%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COU
2 - 0
LOU
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
LOU
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |